Well, reading about CPAC was interesting. It’s mostly showing how fractured the GOP is. It’s like you have the GOPride on one side, anti-gay rubes on the other, Ron Paul yokkels or regular Republicans in the middle, and then the Tea Party (which goes to prove they are an offshoot of the GOP) on the sidelines. Weird as it was, it also proves something I’ve suspected for a long time –
The GOP has no concrete leader, no strong 2012 candidate.
Donald Trump made his move, but I seriously doubt anyone would vote for Forrest Trump. His horrendous speech about how the world needs to suck up to the US proves he is another Kool-Aid drinker. We don’t need that shitty attitude in foreign affairs. Pushing the arrogance and over-patriotic rhetoric is not helping the US. I’m sure he’s just seriously pissed off that the Germans are buying out his precious little Stock Exchange. Call a waaaa-bulance.
Ron Paul’s supporters are more enthusiastic about him running for President in 2012 than he is. And Trump shat on them as well. Other than Jim DeMint running around to battleground states, I don’t know who the Hell is going to be in the running. Chris Christie might as well bow out now, since he has created a new meaning to Jersey Devil. I’ll stick with my previous predictions.
On the Egyptian track, their military is now caught between a rock and a hard place. While they verbally announced that they were supporting Mubarak until his departure in September, they also haven’t done anything to prove they are truly behind Mubarak. They aren’t shooting, arresting or stopping protesters, which is a clear sign that they aren’t helping Mubarak’s cause. In fact, the protests seem to have scared Mubarak out of Cairo to his Red Sea hideout. My analysis is that the Egyptian military is presently suffering a little confusion about what role they should play, and how to support the protesters without starting a civil war. And Mubarak knows this.
And if Mubarak doesn’t follow through in the Fall, I think the military will turn on him. Violently. I don’t think they approve much of VP Omar Suleiman, although he heralds from their ranks. If one of them, or both of them, are removed forcibly, then the protesters will drag the members of the corrupt Parliament out into the street and kill them. It’s only a matter of time now.
UPDATE: Just as I posted that Egypt analysis, Suleiman announced to the Egyptian people that Mubarak has officially stepped down and is leaving. And the celebration I just witnessed on the TV was phenomenal. The military is in charge for a bit until the opposition and other leaders step up to make a deal. Which could be rather quickly in this case. Since the US-trained Egyptian military seems to know what they want to do now.